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CL-R02

Lifecycle carbon of compute

Compute does not become zero-carbon when its electricity becomes green.

Abstract. This programme defines a full lifecycle carbon boundary for compute: semiconductor manufacturing, hardware integration, data-center infrastructure, electricity, cooling, shared network/storage, replacement and end of life. The result is allocated to useful compute and can then be translated into a carbon-limited capacity.

Long-term research questionWhat is the full lifecycle carbon intensity of useful compute?
Active projectCL-P02 / Carbon of Compute
Current responsibilityRunwen Jin / Product & Carbon Systems
Next public outputWorking paper + lifecycle schema
01Semiconductorfab · gases · yield · package
02Hardwareaccelerator · server · rack
03Facilitybuilding · UPS · power · cooling plant
04ElectricityIT + facility energy · grid context
05Coolingrefrigerants · embodied equipment
06Shared + EOLnetwork · storage · replacement
ΣCompute carbonper GPU-hour · job · token · useful compute
The carbon chain begins before a GPU exists. Operational electricity is one component of the result, not the lifecycle boundary itself.

Seven carbon sources are kept visible until the final allocation.

The method separates semiconductor, hardware, facility, electricity, cooling, shared services and replacement/end-of-life so that upstream evidence remains inspectable instead of disappearing inside one factor.

Lifecycle compute carbonCLC = Csemi + Chardware + Cfacility + Celectricity + Ccooling + Cnetwork/storage + Creplacement/EOL

All terms must first share the same system boundary and allocation denominator.

Research positionA “zero-carbon compute” claim based only on contracted electricity does not describe the full physical lifecycle of the compute service.

As electricity gets cleaner, carbon does not disappear — its relative weight moves upstream.

The visual below is a qualitative scenario, not a measured percentage dataset. It illustrates the accounting consequence of sharply reducing operational electricity carbon while manufacturing and infrastructure remain.

Illustrative regime A

Grid-intensive operation

ElectricitySemiconductorHardwareFacilityOther
Illustrative regime B

Low-carbon electricity

ElectricitySemiconductorHardwareFacilityOther

Normalized schematic only. The actual shares are calculated from the declared hardware, facility, electricity, lifetime and manufacturing evidence for each assessment.

Why semiconductor research mattersWhen operational electricity falls, fab process gases, yield, packaging and hardware manufacturing can become materially more important to the carbon intensity of useful compute.

The existing cloud model remains the operational-carbon layer — not the whole lifecycle.

At PUE 1.135, 1,000 kWh of IT energy becomes 1,135 kWh of facility energy. Across the six reference electricity contexts, the operational result spans 90.1–1,080.3 kgCO₂e per MWh IT.

FIGURE 02.2
Operational carbon / same 1 MWh IT workload
CL-E02-O01
New Zealand
90.1 kg
Oregon / N. California
339.0 kg
N. Virginia
414.4 kg
Osaka
499.2 kg
Singapore
561.3 kg
Mumbai
1,080.3 kg
Working operational illustration only. Semiconductor, hardware, facility embodied carbon and other lifecycle terms are added separately under CL-LC. Electricity-factor provenance remains part of the evidence release gate.
Operational electricity carbonCop,electricity = IT energy × facility-overhead treatment × electricity factor

Location-based, procurement-based and lifecycle electricity factors remain separate evidence statements.

Cooling contributes through energy, refrigerants and embodied infrastructure.

Energy

Cooling electricity

Included through PUE when using a top-down facility model, or measured directly in a bottom-up model.

Direct emissions

Refrigerants

Leakage is a separate greenhouse-gas source and is not electricity carbon.

Embodied

Cooling plant

Chillers, pumps, heat exchangers and other cooling assets contribute manufacturing and construction carbon.

×2
If IT energy × PUE is used, cooling electricity is already in the facility total.

Bottom-up cooling energy replaces the relevant facility-overhead estimate; it is not added a second time.

Facility embodied carbon also includes building structure, transformers, UPS, switchgear, batteries and power distribution. Those assets are allocated by service life, capacity and workload share.

The lifecycle inventory becomes useful only after it is assigned to delivered compute.

UPSTREAM

Chip + hardware

Allocate manufacturing carbon by lifetime utilization, GPU-hours, delivered FLOPs or another declared useful-work denominator.

INFRASTRUCTURE

Facility

Allocate building and equipment embodied carbon by capacity × time × utilization share.

SERVICE

Network + storage

Allocate shared service carbon by traffic, storage-hours or a documented service allocation.

Lifecycle carbon intensityIcarbon,LC = CLC / useful compute

Output units can be kgCO₂e/GPU-hour, kgCO₂e/job, gCO₂e/1k tokens or another reproducible compute denominator.

Lifecycle carbon can become a binding capacity constraint.

Once full lifecycle carbon is expressed on the same compute and time boundary, a stated emissions budget can be converted into maximum supportable compute.

Carbon constraintLcarbon = carbon budget / lifecycle compute carbon intensity

The result is normalized to the same time and capacity basis as power, grid, water, cooling and other Critical Load constraints.

Critical Load resultThe lifecycle model closes the chain: fab evidence → compute carbon intensity → carbon budget → supportable compute → Critical Load.

The final carbon number must expose what was measured, modelled and allocated.

LayerEvidence classExample recordRelease rule
SemiconductorPrimary / modelledfab inventory, yield, packagecarry CL-SCM version
HardwareReported / modelledproduct PCF, lifetimedeclare product boundary
FacilityReported / modelledconstruction and equipment carbondeclare capacity-time allocation
ElectricityMeasured / contextualkWh, PUE, grid factorstate electricity claim type
CoolingMeasured / reportedenergy, refrigerant, cooling assetsstate PUE overlap treatment
Lifecycle compute carbonDerivedkgCO₂e/GPU-hour or jobcarry all upstream evidence IDs